| CARVIEW |
Select Language
HTTP/2 200
content-type: text/html; charset=utf-8
date: Wed, 21 Jan 2026 13:45:54 GMT
server: railway-edge
x-railway-edge: railway/asia-southeast1-eqsg3a
x-railway-request-id: h9D3Il2FQfOJVZLqAQeqjw
content-length: 72922
How likely is 'likely'?
How likely is 'likely'?
Take this quick quiz to see how you interpret probability phrases, then see how you compare with the 3817 other people who have done it so far.
You can read more about the history of probabilistic judgement in my recent blog post.
All data is collected anonymously and the final dataset will be made publicly available here in Feb 2026. This website does not collect any personal data (e.g. IP addresses, device identifiers, browser fingerprints, or location data).
Please complete both parts of the survey below to participate (it takes a couple of minutes), then you can compare with others on the next page.