Me responding to a talk by Michael Geruso about his book with Dean Spears, After the Spike.
Down the hatch, 2025
How did I end up in this situation? The year in output.
Year end book roundup
I recommend most of the 29 books I read this year. Give books as gifts!
Another update on American Sociological Review’s failure to meet current social science standards
In the most recent volume, two-thirds of papers based on quantitative analysis provided replication packages.
Me against pronatalism, now in The New Republic
The right wants to steer women away from work and toward motherhood. The left wants to provide them with more state support so it’s easier to have children. We should refuse this choice.
Update: Political divide over science widening more (and now including moderates)
The divide has widened further , and now people who identify as moderates are showing a decline in confidence in science as well.
Stopping rules don’t affect the population’s sex ratio at birth
What if everyone has babies until they get a boy? A lot changes, but the overal sex ratio doesn't.
No two demographic transitions are alike, except when they are (China v. India, etc)
The demographic transition is everywhere. But its variations mean the difference between life and death for hundreds of millions of people.
Ideal (family size) compared to what?
It's not just that the ideal is the wrong thing to measure for this. It's also that total fertility rate is the wrong thing to compare it to.
Child poverty in 2024 was a $62 billion problem
Child poverty is a big problem for children and their families, but a small problem for a rich country to solve.* Last year, child poverty in the United States was a $62 billion problem. Is that a lot? No, it’s not. Below, I show we can pay for it just taxing families who are more than…
Continue reading ➞ Child poverty in 2024 was a $62 billion problem
Family Inequality 