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New ideas for Europe’s relations with China, Russia, and beyond
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Highlights
Featured
Traps and limits: Why Trump bombing Iran won’t deliver what he wants
- Ellie Geranmayeh
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
The US is locked in a cat-and-mouse game of escalation with Iran. Europeans should work with partners in the Middle East to restrain Trump’s military attacks, prevent broader war and pursue measures to protect against the fates that befell Libya and Syria
Policy alert
A new world in trade: How Europeans can make the most of the India deal
- James Crabtree, Manisha Reuter
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
The new EU-India free trade agreement could become a template for 21st-century trade governance
Welcome to the jungle: Trump’s Board of Peace goes global
- Hugh Lovatt
- Commentary
- 7 minute read
The US president’s Board of Peace has less to do with peace, in Gaza or elsewhere, and more to do with enforcing a new, transactional global order. Welcome to the America-First Trumpian world
How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe
- Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev, Mark Leonard
- Policy Brief
A post-Western world is learning to love China, while Europeans are starting to fear America
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Jan
Europe Debates | Russia won’t attack NATO
- Online · ECFR Berlin
15
Jan
Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
Live from Davos with Alexander Stubb
- Podcast
- Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes
In this episode, Mark Leonard sits down with Finnish president, Alexander Stubb, in Davos for a conversation about Donald Trump’s view of Ukraine, Greenland, the world and Europe’s place in it. They explore the clash between advocates of…
ECFR on air
Trust, anger and the limits of EU democracy promotion
- Podcast
- ECFR on air
- The Neighbourhood
Jessica Hendrick is joined by Morten Bøås to go inside RE-ENGAGE’s fieldwork across six EU candidate countries—revealing what citizens actually trust, why anger matters more than apathy and what Brussels keeps getting wrong about democracy promotion
Views from the Council
Trump strikes Venezuela: Three conclusions for Europe
- Carl Bildt
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 3 minute read
Trump’s military action in Venezuela highlights America’s hemispheric turn, its disregard for international law and the president’s growing reliance on force. Europe faces tough choices to defend its interests
Only Europe can save Ukraine from Putin and Trump—but will it?
- Timothy Garton Ash
- Commentary
- View from the Council
- 4 minute read
Whether using frozen Russian assets, ramping up defence production or deepening the relationship with the EU, it is up to us to secure Ukraine’s future—and our own
In the Media - Council
Timothy Garton Ash on the EU’s altered view of the transatlantic relationship and the necessity for new internationalism
Ivan Krastev on the current perception of NATO in Europe and its future in the Trump era
Timothy Garton Ash on Trump’s threat to seize Greenland by military force and the necessity for a new internationalism
Featured and flagship projects
The Data Collection
Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.
Featured
Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump
- Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Pawel Zerka
Re:Engage
This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.
Featured
The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood
- Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx
Re:Order
Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.
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From summits to substance: Europe’s chance to meet Africa on its terms
- Lena Krause
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Africa is awash with summits this year. If Europe wants to stand out, it must stay long after the photos have been taken
Where does Europe go from here?
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Beyond showcasing Donald Trump’s “neo-royalist” style of politics, this year’s annual gathering of the global elite in Davos revealed deeper, structural changes that will shape political and business leaders’ decision-making for years to come. Europeans, in particular, must absorb the right lessons
Ore and order: Russia’s rare-earth strategy for the Ukraine talks
- Kirill Shamiev
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
If Europe reopens talks with Vladimir Putin, Moscow could turn Western dependence on Chinese rare earths into leverage. A new $9.2bn processing hub in Siberia will be at the heart of this plan
Policy alert
Disintegrated deterrence: What Trump’s National Defense Strategy means for Europe
- Rafael Loss
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
Donald Trump has rolled out America’s stark new National Defense Strategy. Europeans need to be prepared to take control of their own defence future
Trump’s culture war on Europe is far from over
- Pawel Zerka
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
While unpopular in Europe, Trump’s new penchant for waging war could still help his ideological allies across the continent
When in Rome: The Italian-German motor in action
- Giorgio Rutelli
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
New alignment between Rome and Berlin could power the EU forward on many fronts
Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.
All our experts
Newsroom
ECFR’s report “How Trump is making China great again—and what it means for Europe” by Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard mentioned by Formiche
Pawel Zerka on the caution required when interpreting the poll results regarding foreign propaganda
Mark Leonard on how Donald Trump has fractured the transatlantic alliance and what this means for Europe and the wider world
Hugh Lovatt on the structure and key figures of Trump’s BoP, as well as its impact on Gaza and the international order
More on Africa
Middle power dreaming: The geopolitics of Angola’s emergence
- Alex Vines
- Policy Brief
Angola is increasingly active in the world. Here is how Europeans can cooperate with this rising middle power
Caught in the Corridor: Angola, Europe and America
- Alex Vines
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
When the army comes knocking: Benin’s failed coup and West African instability
- Suzanne Tisserand
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
More on Asia
The Taiwan test: Why Europe should help deter China
- Estelle Huang
- Policy Brief
China’s military capabilities are growing and its actions in Europe are becoming more disruptive. The EU should support Taiwan with dual-use technologies and defence cooperation to send a clear signal to Beijing
Clumsy ships, big risks: China’s evolving maritime playbook
- Estelle Huang
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Managing a rivalry: The latest Japan-China escalation and what Europe can do
- Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on European Power
The green great game: Crafting an EU-Central Asia energy alliance
- Szymon Kardaś
- Policy Brief
With the difficult post-Soviet years behind it, Central Asia is becoming more integrated and actively seeking partnerships beyond Russia and China
Keep ice cool: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s Greenland tariff threats
- Agathe Demarais
- Commentary
- 2 minute read
Five steps to stop Greenland’s annexation destroying the EU
- José Ignacio Torreblanca
- Commentary
- 4 minute read
More on European Security
Accelerate the accessions: Why faster is better in EU enlargement policy
- Engjellushe Morina
- Policy Brief
The Ukraine war has revived EU enlargement for Albania, Moldova, Montenegro and Ukraine, but they face obstacles. Accelerating membership for these frontrunners would unlock the process before rivals can take advantage
Putin’s longest war: Calling time on Russia’s endurance myth
- Jana Kobzova, Leo Litra
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
Arctic hold‘em: Ten European cards in Greenland
- Jana Kobzova, Mark Leonard, Jim O’Brien, Jana Puglierin, Jeremy Shapiro, Vessela Tcherneva, Katrine Westgaard
- Commentary
- 10 minute read
More on Middle East and North Africa
Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics
- Hugh Lovatt, Tahani Mustafa
- Policy Brief
Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate governance and keep Palestinian self-determination alive
How Europe can help Iranians break the internet shutdown
- Ellie Geranmayeh, Giorgos Verdi
- Policy Alert
- 2 minute read
From partners to rivals: What the Saudi-UAE rupture means for Europeans
- Cinzia Bianco
- Commentary
- 5 minute read
More on United States
The bear in the Baltics: Reassessing the Russian threat in Estonia
- Jennifer Kavanagh, Jeremy Shapiro
- Policy Brief
While Estonia’s geography makes it vulnerable to a Russian invasion, it is also protected due to weakened Russian capabilities, stronger European defence cooperation and its own preparedness. NATO’s European members should be reassured but not complacent
Decision time for Europe
- Mark Leonard
- Commentary
- 3 minute read
Venezuela, Trump’s “Donroe Doctrine” and three dilemmas facing Europe
- Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Chris Herrmann
- Commentary
- 2 minute read
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