The convention at Cold Spring Shops is to remove the Festive Season decorations at Three Kings. That day, though, also signals the opening of Mardi Gras festivities along the Gulf Coast, and the resumption of Karneval, which commenced in November.
Whatever you call it, it's reason to continue in a festive spirit. Before Aschermittwoch there will be a different sort of bonfire and it might involve singing and beer. Then the sober times will come.
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COLD SPRING SHOPS.
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COLD SPRING SHOPS.
Observations on economics, the academy, the wider world, and things that run on rails.
16.1.26
ENABLING THE OVERSCHEDULED CHILDHOOD?
Strong Towns contributor Noah Toumert asks, "Why Do Cities Build Sports Complexes Instead of Neighborhood Fields?" Maybe because the helicopter parents think of the local playgrounds as dangerous places, and the authorities crack down on unsupervised play as tantamount to neglect.
Perhaps, as Mr Toumert contends, the sports complexes are a way of showcasing the city as a destination, rather than as, oh, a place to live.
Large sports complexes are attractive to city governments because they are easy to explain. They arrive with economic impact studies attached: hotel nights, restaurant spending, regional visitors. They come with clear capital budgets, naming rights, and ribbon-cutting ceremonies. They can be photographed from the air and branded as evidence of investment. A $30 million complex feels like progress because it is visible.All of those things might be true, subject, however, to the caveat that such projects, like any other local improvement built with Other Peoples' Money, turn into liabilities when time comes to do the maintenance and security.
Neighborhood fields, by contrast, don’t always photograph well. A lit mini-pitch on a residential block looks like maintenance instead of transformation. Ten small investments scattered across a city do not produce a single moment of political credit in the way one large facility does.
In the end, cities are not only responding to community need; they are responding to the logic of governance. Centralized projects are legible to councils, donors, and the press. Distributed infrastructure is quieter and harder to narrate. The result is predictable: cities optimize for visibility rather than proximity.
Beyond politics, sports complexes solve a series of administrative challenges. They centralize scheduling, liability, maintenance, and security. They allow recreation departments to manage sport as a contained activity rather than a diffuse one. Insurance is simpler, permitting clearer, and staff can be concentrated in one place.
ADVANCED, OR NOT-SO-ADVANCED, TRIBAL SOCIETIES.
In "What's the Matter With Minnesota?," Michael Barone develops the argument that European social democracies might better be understood as advanced tribal societies, with an emphasis on Minnesota.
Minnesota? Somalis? Nine billion dollars in alleged welfare fraud?Or, Cynical Me notes, perhaps putting a bureaucrat in charge of bailing out improvident relatives is a good thing. "It's your third cousin once removed that your taxes are supporting. That might not be so easy once enough immigration changes the dynamic between tax payer and benefit recipient." So it has been going in Denmark and Sweden. Here's where that led, ten years ago. "Europe's migration problem is worse to the extent that the self-despising multiculturalists enable third worlders to continue to behave badly and not prosper, and in like measure, provide evidence of the absence of cosmic justice and cause for further social reform. In the United States, migrants become mascots for ward-heeler politicians."
To understand what's going on from a distance, it helps to understand basic culture. Minnesota was settled largely by people of Scandinavian and German ancestry.
In survey after survey, Minnesota has ranked No. 1 or No. 2 among states, often just behind neighboring and much smaller North Dakota, in social connectedness, civic participation, workforce participation and voter turnout. It has traditionally led the nation in levels of trust and conscientiousness.
This has been coupled with political behavior that resembles Scandinavian patterns. Minnesota, like North Dakota and its neighbor Wisconsin, had lively socialist-leaning third parties in the 1930s. It's still the Democratic-Farmer-Labor party, the result of a fusion engineered by future Vice President Hubert Humphrey in 1944.
As you might expect, Minnesotans have built a high-tax, high-spending state government. Like Scandinavians, they have trusted the state to provide services and have trusted individuals not to cheat in claiming benefits. Public support for these programs, as in Scandinavia, has traditionally been founded on confidence that aid goes only to the genuinely deserving.
The Somalis who have been the most visible and politically active migrants to Minnesota over the past generation provide a vivid contrast.
Mr Barone doesn't quite go there, but he's tiptoeing along the sideline.
Somalis, after three decades in Minnesota, have made little progress on those dimensions. A low-trust, low-conscientiousness culture has proved to be stubbornly persistent, and, unlike the Minnesota liberals who helped the Hmong fit in, the last generation of Minnesota liberals has done little to move Somalis away from a dysfunctional culture that they brought from their embattled and unproductive homeland and from an adversarial attitude to the larger American society.The strength of these United States is in its origin as a creedal, not a tribal, nation. Yes, let Minnesotans, or residents of any other state, buy into the aspirations of their new neighbors. At the same time, let them encourage those new neighbors to buy into the ways that have persisted as the creed emerged, including high conscientiousness culture and bourgeois norms.
BY WAY OF COMIC RELIEF.
The Order of Perpetual Misery are at it again, with perpetual scold Stan Cox unleashing another jeremiad. "How to Save the World: Give Up War, Cars, and Leaf-Blowers... and Unveil the Stars." The thinking becomes even more wishful in the subtitle. "It’s imperative that we stand up to the forces of ecocide, while developing a more realistic vision of the better world that awaits us once we’ve jumped off the growth-by-carbonization bandwagon." Imperative, huh? Well, I suppose a guy with a beard worthy of Nathan Forrest would want to keep up the skeer about a climate emergency that isn't.
The number of environmental disasters and their destructiveness are only ratcheting up in step with increases in global greenhouse gas emissions, ever more extraction of key minerals, the ever-greater exploitation of biological resources, and outbreaks of resource wars (most recently with the US assault on Venezuela). All of that is linked to one crucial phenomenon: the single-minded pursuit of economic growth by the owning and investing classes. Not surprisingly, they reap the lion’s share of the benefits from such growth and bear next to none of its devastating consequences.Imagine, dear reader, what the total weight of stuff would be if all those Third Worlders who used to eke out a living on a dollar a day had to devote their higher earnings to buying the radio or record player or land-line telephone they might have purchased but for the current generation of entrepreneurs having provided the same capabilities with a much lower material intensity. Economists don't have a good grasp of economic growth in the sense of more stuff and more people, let alone what it would look like with rising living standards shared among fewer people using advanced stuff. I note, further, that an increasing share of what we used to understand as the middle classes are participating both in the growth, and perhaps treating the noise of those leaf blowers as a tolerable consequence.
Though it’s seldom highlighted, the world economy has indeed reached an astounding physical scale. During the past century, resource extraction has doubled every 20 years or so. Indeed, humanity reached a grim milestone in 2021, when the global quantity of human-made mass—that is, the total weight of all things our species manufactured or constructed—surpassed the total weight of all living plant, animal, and microbial biomass on this planet. And worse yet, that mass of human-made stuff continues to grow, year by year, even as the natural world diminishes further.
15.1.26
THE LOGIC OF DEATHBED CONVERSIONS.
A heavenly news report from The Babylon Bee. "At publishing time, Scott Adams had been moved into a shared cubicle with French philosopher Blaise Pascal."
DONALD TRUMP SEEKS FRIENDSHIP OF DON CORLEONE.
Populist froth is populist froth, no matter who peddles it. "Trump pushes a 1-year, 10% cap on credit card interest rates." Dear reader, for all the happy talk about bipartisanship and gauzy memories of Ronald Reagan and Tip O'Neill quaffing a few after hours, bipartisanship is the political class doing dumb things.
Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., who said he talked with Trump on Friday night, said the effort is meant to “lower costs for American families and to rein in greedy credit card companies who have been ripping off hardworking Americans for too long.”If the lender can't price the risk premium in the finance charge, he can either refuse to make the loan, as the article notes is the case in states with existing usury laws, or increase the penalty for late payment.
Legislation in both the House and the Senate would do what Trump is seeking.
Sens. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Josh Hawley, R-Mo., released a plan in February that would immediately cap interest rates at 10% for five years, hoping to use Trump’s campaign promise to build momentum for their measure.
Hours before Trump’s post, Sanders said that the president, rather than working to cap interest rates, had taken steps to deregulate big banks that allowed them to charge much higher credit card fees.
Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., have proposed similar legislation. Ocasio-Cortez is a frequent political target of Trump, while Luna is a close ally of the president.
Does anyone seriously think that when Our President and Fauxahontas agree on something, that's a course worth pursuing?
One irony in the calls for price caps from a certain type of populist, whether on the (nominally) left or (nominally) right, is that price levels are, in some respects, as representative of popular opinion as it is possible to get.Yes, that's all standard stuff, as will be the predictable consequences for people with credit scores lower than the cruising speed of a Lear Jet.
Should prices be set (directly or indirectly) by countless interactions between countless people, or should they be set by someone in government — in Washington — who supposedly knows best?
Oh well.
If Donald Trump’s promise to institute “a one year cap on Credit Card Interest Rates of 10%” were to be measured in an opinion poll, it would likely prove extremely popular. Bolstered by the usual demagoguery, mawkishness, and indignation, the question would be abstracted into the heady realm of theory, and its opponents would be cast as the dastardly handmaidens of greed. In all probability, the public would be 80–20 in favor of the move — perhaps even more.With the spring semester getting under way, David Henderson offers a refresher course. Put simply, whether Donald Trump is proposing it, or Elizabeth Warren is proposing it, interest rate ceilings comprise "A Progressive Plan That Aids Loan Sharks." Other entrepreneurs in the poverty industry, such as payday loan and check cashing shops, pawn shops, and the sort of durable goods dealer who will hold your cash without paying interest until you've brought enough in to buy that recliner, will also get to wet their beaks.
If, by contrast, Donald Trump’s promise to institute a one-year, 10 percent cap on credit card interest rates were to be implemented, it would provoke a populist backlash on a scale that we have not seen in the United States for a while. There is a reason that unsecured loans carry high rates when granted to risky debtors, and that reason does not evaporate in the face of good intentions or disgruntled rhetoric. If, in a fit of wide-eyed ideology, the president or Congress elects to change the law, they will create a set of ineluctable knock-on effects for which, before too long, they will be harshly blamed. In a matter of weeks, 80–20 would become 20–80.
When Trump and his acolytes imagine a 10 percent limit, they seem to envision the current system, unchanged but for that small detail. But this is absurd. Interest rates are inextricably tied to exposure. To restrict the ceiling to 10 percent APR is to inform banks that they may charge no more than 0.83 percent interest per month to anyone, irrespective of their financial history. The result of this would not be some lofty 10-percent-for-everyone paradise, but an extremely selective universe in which only the most secure candidates were accepted. Within a month of the new rules, most new applicants would be turned down, longstanding credit limits would be lowered, and existing customers who exhibited even a modest pattern of delinquency would have their accounts canceled on the spot. One does not have to try too hard to imagine how this would play out on social media, in the press, or in November’s midterm elections.
YOUR INTEGRITY OR YOUR LIFE'S WORK.
Ever since the second coming of a Trump presidency, higher education types have protested that the administration is conditioning its financial support on obeisance to that administration's policy goals. Regular readers of Cold Spring Shops have long understood what Reason's Jack Nicastro put bluntly. "Federal Funding for Universities Comes With Strings. Now Trump Is Pulling Them." His focus is on the appropriability of patent royalties: yes, on occasion federally sponsored research comes up with commercially successful things. His concluding paragraph, however, notes the broader implications of Our President's actions.Pope Linus the people who write the checks.
Getting the government involved in subsidizing higher education was always a Faustian bargain. The Bayh-Dole Act may have supported the tenfold increase in university patents in the two decades following its passage, but it did so at the expense of attaching government strings to academic research. It should come as no surprise that the Trump administration is now tugging on them to cow academia into compliance with its political agenda.As if the other government strings didn't have the same effect. The post's title comes from a Rikki Schlott essay, "How Ideologues Infiltrated the Arts," which ran in The (Not Detroit) Free Press midway through the Jarrett regency, during which the foundations and the national endowments shared a common view of what was True and Beautiful. Choreographer Lincoln Jones got the equivalent of a "recant or be excommunicated" missive from
“Fundraising felt impossible,” he added. “The requirement on grants comes down to this: If you don’t agree with this very particular and recently adopted approach to social justice, we won’t fund your art. Behind the scenes, so many people in the arts world told me just to say the words.”I mean, when the director of the National Endowment for the Arts during the Obama presidency, Rocco Landesman, recognizes there's a problem, there's probably a problem.
“Every time I spoke to funders, the first conversation was about diversity. It just felt like, okay, this is how you get funding now. Honestly, it felt like somebody was holding a gun to my head and saying, ‘Your integrity or your life’s work.’”
That bargain—pledge allegiance to the new orthodoxy or stick to your mission and risk your career—is one now faced by many in the world of American fine arts.
Landesman, 75, who has produced multiple Tony-winning shows including Angels in America and The Producers, said he worries about what is happening to the world where he has dedicated his entire life and career.The same thing might be happening to decorated laboratory scientists in universities you might have heard of, according to Minding the Campus contributor J. Scott Turner.
“We’re taking first-rate artists and making them into third-rate political activists,” he said.
“Art is supposed to unsettle us; art challenges what we feel about ourselves,” he continued. “But most of the art today affirms commonly held views of our society. You either fit in or you perish.”
There is nothing unlikeable about any of the scientists whose stories Blonigan and Liu tell. They are justly proud of what they do, and of their devotion to science. As someone who spent a multi-decade research career in a never-ending scramble for funds and living with perpetual uncertainty, I feel their pain.Note further, dear reader, that any institution of higher (cough!) learning that wants to participate in federally funded research or performance or guaranteed student loans must comply with, you guessed it, government guidelines. Cynical Me suggests that the guidelines, pre-Trump, enforced agreements among the universities that the universities could never reach among themselves.
Nevertheless, they are in the grips of a prideful delusion: that they are valued as scientists, that the funding, privilege, and prestige they enjoy have been conferred on them so that they might advance science, and that what they do is valued by their universities as science. They are blind to the reality that they are galley slaves, chained to the oars, valued not for the science they do nor for their good intentions, but for the revenue streams they generate.
Doubt me on this? Here’s a thought experiment. Decide to dedicate your career to an intellectually promising line of inquiry that doesn’t cost much money to pursue, or even better, that can be funded without grants. What do you suppose will happen to your academic career? Here’s my hypothesis: you will soon have no academic career.
And where is nemesis in all this? Pull away the mask, and her identity is revealed. Nemesis is the mighty river of federal research funding, roughly $100 billion that streams into universities nationwide every year.
14.1.26
THOSE URBAN-RURAL POLITICAL DIVIDES.
Downstate Illinois would just as soon have nothing to do with Chicago. Inland and mountain Oregon and Washington resent the political aesthetic of Portland and Seattle. There might be Minnesotans asking Paul Bunyan to chop the Cities off.
Now consider remarks one Representative Daniel Sickles made in Congress. “Secession, although it may begin at the South, will not end at the South. There is no sympathy now between the city and the State of New York ... nor has there been for years.” Yes, that's the same Daniel Sickles, political general, whose impetuous behavior on 2 July at Gettysburg almost lost the battle, but for the First Minnesota plugging the gap.
MIGHT THE ROOM BE FILLING WITH EMPTY SHELLS?
That's a parable from four years ago.
[I]magine a room full of whole peanuts, with kids let loose to eat the peanuts while they're required to leave the shells in the room as they eat. Early on, it's easy to find the whole peanuts, but as the room fills up with shells, it's harder to find them. Locating exhaustible resources is like that, and we even have a Hotelling principle for the pricing of exhaustible resources that ought manifest itself if peak oil is indeed at hand.Peak oil might not be upon us just yet, and yet, notes Paul Krugman, Our President's Venezuelan oil play might be failing its market test. "None of the oil executives were willing to make specific commitments to invest in Venezuela, although some of them talked about possible increases in Venezuelan production."
A WELL-DESERVED RETIREMENT.
Yen Ching to close after 4 decades in DeKalb. The family business serves good food, and some years ago they moved from downtown near the railroad crossing to near the university.
After being in DeKalb for nearly 44 years, Yen Ching has decided to close its doors.Even when things get hectic, as it often does at an eatery with a strong local following, the ladies manage to stay cheerful. This year, the owners will be offering lunch Tuesday through Sunday and dinner each day. The regulars, which include long-time DeKalb residents from all walks of life, wish them well.
The restaurant is owned by husband and wife John Yin and Marilyn Yin. Their only other staff member is Marilyn’s sister, Caroline Zinger. John serves as the sole chef, while Marilyn manages the restaurant’s finances and paperwork.
Yen Ching is an Asian restaurant in DeKalb that offers authentic Chinese cuisine with items such as sweet sour chicken, egg drop soup and crab rangoons.
John Yin began working in his family’s restaurant at the age of 10, which made it second nature for him to manage an entire kitchen on his own. Although there have been other employees over the years, none ever proved to be a complete fit.
“We’ve had employees, but over the years we realized the easy way is to do it yourself,” Marilyn Yin said.
13.1.26
YOUR RIGHT TO KEEP AND BEAR ARMS.
Eight years ago, we called attention to National Review's Charles C. W. Cooke, noting how one Donald J. Trump's version of the Cult of the Presidency was reason for Democrat Keepers of the Cult to rethink the role of a strong central government.
There might be a general principle at work, and its emergence is encouraging.I cannot guarantee the reliability of links to National Review from eight years ago, it's hard enough to guarantee those week to week.Having watched the rise of Trumpism — and, now, having seen the beginning of violence in its name — who out there is having second thoughts as to the wisdom of imbuing our central state with massive power?There's more in that vein at the article. By all means, read and understand.
That’s a serious, not a rhetorical, question. I would genuinely love to know how many “liberals” have begun to suspect that there are some pretty meaningful downsides to the consolidation of state authority. I’d like to know how many of my ideological opponents saying with a smirk that “it couldn’t happen here” have begun to wonder if it could. I’d like to know how many fervent critics of the Second Amendment have caught themselves wondering whether the right to keep and bear arms isn’t a welcome safety valve after all.
That "right to keep and bear arms" as a safety valve appears to have been discovered, recently, by people who until last week were probably all about banning assault weapons and all the rest.The Federal Constitution guaranteeing the right of revolution asserted in the Declaration of Independence is something acknowledged, more in sorrow than in anger, by libertarians, and it's embraced by patriot militia types as a license to hunt politicians. I have not, as of this afternoon, learned of any such militias organizing to draw down on the antifa types.
Lmao the right reported me for... supporting the Second Amendment?
— Not a Good Jewish Girl✡️ (@estherzelda0514) January 12, 2026
Learned my rhetoric from you, pookie! 😘 https://t.co/zUuIoElEmN pic.twitter.com/IovDU2q5ni
YOUR HAMBURGER COMES WITH A SIDE OF MISOGYNY.
Remember "patriarchy and meat?"
Perhaps the Huffington Post writer has spent time in the fever swamps of cultural studies, in which the commercial butchering of animals becomes an example of the absent referent.Carol Adams is still at it, and Town Hall's "Ranty Amy" Curtis is snickering. "She's hitting all the Leftist talking points like she's collecting woke Pokémon." Sounds like the professor is still working off the same lecture notes from thirty years ago.I was struggling to find a way to explain why people eat animals and why it is so difficult to discuss the issue. I realized that it was because of what I call the structure of the absent referent: Behind every meal of meat is an absence: the death of the animal whose place the meat takes. The "absent referent" is that which separates the meat eater from the animal and the animal from the end product. The function of the absent referent is to keep our "meat" separated from any idea that she or he was once an animal, to keep something from being seen as having been someone.Never in the history of intellectual endeavour has so much effort been devoted by so many to so little. From that we get The Sexual Politics of Meat, which I skimmed one lazy afternoon years ago, to be unimpressed by its efforts to treat housewives preparing roasts for their husbands and deer hunting as manifestations of the same hierarchy of dominion, but the author saw fit to offer a sequel, The Pornography of Meat, and the late unlamented Lingua Franca suggested there would soon be a new library category, "patriarchy and meat." Sometimes the only thing to do is to snicker.
12.1.26
WHY URBAN POLICY ADVOCATES FAIL.
Last fall, we noted an essay by Streetsblog's Hayden Clarkin, who was not a fan of making motorists miserable, and might have recommended that advocates of a certain stripe lose the smug.
His colleague Alex Burns didn't get the memo.
The Trump Administration continues to dismantle federal climate policy, and Biden-era goals are drifting increasingly out of reach. As the federal government of the world’s second-biggest polluter abdicates responsibility, state and local governments must accelerate the decarbonization efforts. This is especially true for the transportation sector, the country’s biggest emissions source, as state and local governments are key decision makers on highway and transit spending."Unwillingness by policy makers to inconvenience drivers." As if defenders of the status quo or advocates of the proposition that the private automobile confers freedom of movement don't already think of urban transit advocates as a convex combination of smug and depriving people of their freedoms. Moreover, Mr Burns's essay does nothing to disabuse people who think of bicycle lanes and road diets as deliberately taking road space away from cars. Those are Desirable Features and Governments Aren't Doing Enough.
Unfortunately, even states that have pledged to take climate seriously are failing to reduce transportation emissions at the rapid pace that is needed. At the root of this failure is an unwillingness by policy makers to inconvenience drivers and meaningfully depart from a car-dominated transport system. As progress on climate goals falters, it is time for state transportation leaders to come to terms with an inconvenient truth: climate goals are not feasible without a swift and methodical reallocation of road space away from cars.
Supporting policy actions have focused on improving multimodal transportation options and promoting denser, walkable, urban land use. Projects that significantly impact cost and convenience for car drivers have been largely off-limits.Nowhere in his essay, though, do we see any mention of treating the roads and parking spaces as productive assets and pricing them accordingly. Those policies impose costs but might improve convenience. Can't have that, the streets have to be narrowed.
THE PILLARS OF TRUMP.
Our President has been musing about buying or annexing or occupying Greenland. A polar map makes the island's strategic importance to North America clear.
During the Battle of the Atlantic and the Cold War, the ability of the Atlantic Alliance to keep track of naval activity in the Greenland - Iceland - United Kingdom gap was useful. To the extent that being able to use the Northwest Passage for commercial shipping matters, keeping track of what's on those waters is easier with observers in Alaska, far northwestern Canada, and Greenland. Note, further, that great circle trajectories of intercontinental missiles out of Persia or European Russia cross Denmark, making it a logical place to base anti-missile technologies that activate during the boost phase.
GOOD QUESTION.
Inside Higher Ed columnist Rachel Toor asks, "Can we in higher ed, the true 'life-long learners,' think hard about what we’ve gotten wrong, admit our mistakes without shame and then change and adapt to the world we all now live in?"
Perhaps the continued apologetics for all wokeness, all the time, have ceased to persuade.
Every scientist worth her NaCl knows a theory is right until it’s proved wrong. That’s why she keeps experimenting. But in higher education, we tend to treat our current crisis—declining enrollment, loss of public trust—as a “failure” of the market or demographics or even the political landscape. We rarely stop to ask if we are fundamentally wrong about the model we are using.I'd like to see even a little acknowledgement that I, and people who shared some of my objections to business as usual, might have had it partly right. That's not where she's going.
We confuse the aesthetic of academia—the gorgeous campus, the passionate faculty, the dorm-living young people that represents the small college liberal arts experience—with the institutions that serve the 70 percent of students who fall outside the traditional, fictional Wheeler ideal.It's not the institutions that are selling that social capital that confront shrinking enrollments and opt to close down. The U.S. News guides continue to sell. I doubt that Ms Toor is seriously suggesting not bothering with providing at least the rudiments of that social capital to matriculants who for a variety of reasons do not seek admission at the elite institutions.
Watching this, I was reminded of a story my late uncle, Seymour Benzer, a geneticist at Caltech, once told me. He had been invited to Oxford to give a talk and was walking the quads with a colleague. They passed workers scraping soot off the ancient buildings. The witty Brit he was with turned to him and said, “We put that in bags and ship it to Yale for their buildings.”
It was an apt reminder that we’ve long mimicked the ancient Oxbridge model, importing not just the architecture, but the “soot”—the assumption that tradition itself confers value. That might work for elite institutions where students are buying social capital. But for the rest of higher ed? In today’s world, faculty who cling to their lectures and red pens don’t serve our current students.
We are busy scraping the soot off the past and applying it to the present, rather than admitting that the building itself might need a redesign.
Higher ed in the U.S. has been one of our country’s greatest achievements. But maybe we can think about what we’ve gotten wrong, admit it without shame, and then learn and grow and change? Some of us must out of sheer necessity if we want to keep our jobs.
10.1.26
JUST WIN.
The irregular Saturday-only bridge column has previously featured some of the strange bids the algorithms make. So it is with this recent simulation.
Those red lines around two of my bids indicate the algorithm is interpreting each of those as something other than "I have length and strength in Diamonds" and "I have support for your initial suit" followed by "I'm stronger than Three No Trump." My closing offer was Six No Trump, and after an opening ♥ Five, off we go. Note that in real life, the closed hand is North, and that player sees three top tricks in Spades; three top tricks in Hearts, and with proper play, an opportunity to discard that low Spade; five top tricks in Diamonds, which is convenient given there is one top Club trick, and playing either side for the King is taking a long chance. That's the joy of playing no-trump contracts: cash your immediate winners and establish the defense's remaining little cards, or run a Jack or a Ten in order to knock out a higher card against your honors, and go down.
This game, no problem. Win the lead in hand with the ♥ Queen, cash the remaining high Hearts, low Diamond to the Jack, run the remaining Diamonds pitching Clubs, cash the ♣ Ace, then the ♠ Queen and back to the ♠ Ace and King, and donate a Club to charity.
9.1.26
WORK DONE, WORK STILL TO BE DONE.
The Candy Cane Lane neighborhood of West Allis is several blocks of tract houses from the American High that over the years has developed a tradition of blinging out the houses for the Festive Season.
Residents along the DeKalb street north of Cold Spring Shops headquarters are not shy about illuminating their houses. Householders on the adjacent streets have not yet gotten in on the fun, nor is this neighborhood as walkable as the gridded streets of West Allis.
There is enough traffic, both on foot, as I did to take the above photograph and a few others, and driving through, that Candy Cane Lane residents now solicit donations for the Milwaukee Athletes Against Childhood Cancer. In the 2025 Festive Season, which properly wrapped up by Three Kings, the neighborhood raised over two hundred thousand dollars for that fund. Sadly, Leo Avina, the young man who designed the 2025 TMJ4 MACC Star ornament, another part of Festive Season fundraising, recently lost his battle with rhabdomyosarcoma at the age of six. R. I. P.
The 2026 Candy Cane Lane displays will begin Friday, 27 November, and the MACC Star campaign goes on. Childhood cancer researchers never lack for work.
THE SEVENTY-THREE PERCENT CONUNDRUM.
When does borrowing for countercyclical Keynesian economics begin to work against itself?
Among the 47 studies that find nonlinear threshold levels at which debt begins to adversely affect economic growth, mean and median threshold levels can be calculated. The mean threshold level is 74% of GDP, while the median threshold is 73%. If we remove estimates from developing country samples to focus on the threshold level for advanced economies, the mean and median threshold levels are marginally higher, at 75% and 76% respectively. These estimates are largely consistent with prior estimates for advanced countries.That's the money quote from "The Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: What the Empirical Literature Tells Us," an ongoing Mercatus Center round-up-cum-meta-analysis of research on, to put it loosely, when tax, spend, and borrow becomes counter-productive.
Understanding the relationship between public debt and economic growth is of paramount importance to both economists and policymakers. High and rising debt levels raise concerns about fiscal sustainability, intergenerational equity, and potential constraints on future policy space. On the other hand, fiscal stimulus funded by debt is often used as a policy tool during economic downturns, particularly in liquidity traps where monetary policy may be constrained. The key policy question, therefore, is not whether public debt is inherently good or bad, but rather under what conditions it becomes harmful to long-run economic performance.Put another way, those policy issues that make teaching macroeconomics a futile struggle between the positive economics of income-expenditure models and the normative economics of policy tradeoffs will not go away. And once public debt, a stock, rises to about three-quarters of gross domestic product, a flow, the anticipated magic multipliers and all the other policy tools lose effectiveness.
The United States Treasury? Currently borrowing, in total, more than the annual gross domestic product. What cannot go on forever, won't.
THINK OF THE DEANLINGS' SELF-ESTEEM.
In the house organ for all wokeness, all the time, inside not-so-higher education, Austin Sarat asks, "How Many Vice Presidents Does a College Need?"
Here I stand, I can do no other.
Years ago, I learned about administrative bloat in a humorous way. The acting chairman of my department reported that the ratio of full-time-equivalent students to faculty had increased in the department, because the number of faculty members had decreased. He then noted that the number of vice presidents had increased at the same time, and in a quantity sufficient to lower the ratio of students to vice presidents.Professor Sarat holds a chair in political science at tiny but influential Amherst College, and the office inflation there is too much even for him.
To some extent, the perception of administrative bloat varies by discipline and worldview. It's more likely to be pointed out by critics of the radical vision that captivates postmodernists, culture-studies True Believers, social constructionists, deconstructionists, and careerist conscience-cowboys.
Amherst College, where I teach, recently changed the designation of its senior administrators, who were formerly called “chiefs,” as in chief financial officer, to “vice presidents.” We now have 10 of them, as well as 15 other individuals who hold titles such as senior associate, associate or assistant vice president.Higher education poobahs have long been allergic to naming any responsible person a "chief," as in their minds that term has troubling connotation of buffalo hide robes and feathered head-dresses. The vice-presidentialization of higher education, as the professor has it, though? The proliferation of titles might give the lie to all that cheerful talk about institutions being student-centered.
Not too long ago, in the time before they became chiefs, our VPs would have been called deans, directors or, in the case of our chief financial officer, treasurer. (Indeed, some retain a dean title along with their vice presidential one—the vice president of student affairs and dean of students, or the vice president and dean of admission and financial aid.) I respect and value the work that they do, regardless of their title. I know them and am aware of their dedication to the college and the well-being of its students, faculty and staff.
But, for a small, liberal arts college that has long been proud to go its own way in many things, including in its idiosyncratic administrative titles, that’s a lot of vice presidents and associate and assistant VPs.
That trend is a sign of a shift in power from faculty to administrators, who are focused on protecting and managing their college’s brand. It is another sign of the growing administrative sector in American colleges and universities.Businesses face market tests. Institutions claiming to offer the higher learning, not so much. That the proliferation of deanlets has been going on for almost a half century while the skills of the graduates diminish suggest nobody is asking, "Is this assistant-to-the-associate-vice-president for student affairs really necessary?"
Titles matter.
For example, the title “dean of students” suggests a job that is student-facing, working closely with students to maximize their educational experience. The title of “vice president for student affairs” suggests something different, a role more institution-facing, dealing with policy, not people.
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"Cold Spring Shops" was the name of the primary repair and car building facility of The Milwaukee Electric Railway and Light Company ... builders of trolley dining cars and the Christmas parade train ... perhaps I can be that creative too.
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Blog Archive
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2026
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January
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- KARNEVAL, KARNEVAL.
- ENABLING THE OVERSCHEDULED CHILDHOOD?
- ADVANCED, OR NOT-SO-ADVANCED, TRIBAL SOCIETIES.
- BY WAY OF COMIC RELIEF.
- THE LOGIC OF DEATHBED CONVERSIONS.
- DONALD TRUMP SEEKS FRIENDSHIP OF DON CORLEONE.
- YOUR INTEGRITY OR YOUR LIFE'S WORK.
- THOSE URBAN-RURAL POLITICAL DIVIDES.
- MIGHT THE ROOM BE FILLING WITH EMPTY SHELLS?
- A WELL-DESERVED RETIREMENT.
- YOUR RIGHT TO KEEP AND BEAR ARMS.
- YOUR HAMBURGER COMES WITH A SIDE OF MISOGYNY.
- WHY URBAN POLICY ADVOCATES FAIL.
- THE PILLARS OF TRUMP.
- GOOD QUESTION.
- JUST WIN.
- WORK DONE, WORK STILL TO BE DONE.
- THE SEVENTY-THREE PERCENT CONUNDRUM.
- THINK OF THE DEANLINGS' SELF-ESTEEM.
- DISPATCHES FROM THAT COLD CIVIL WAR.
- DICK WOLF CANNOT CONCEAL WHAT PROGRESSIVISM HAS DO...
- PALACE INTRIGUE IN PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL.
- DRIVERS PAY TO BE DISTRACTED?
- A LONG-LIVED, ILLIQUID, USEFUL ASSET.
- AFTER FURTHER REVIEW.
- COME UP WITH A BETTER VALUE PROPOSITION.
- SEVENTEEN RESOLUTIONS TEAM TRUMP WILL LIKELY BREAK.
- FOOTBALL IS A COLLISION SPORT.
- A SEMIQUINCENTENNIAL.
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