Related link: https://www.xsltblog.com/archives/2006/03/windows_steals_1.html
InformationWeek | Server Operating Systems Ranked | Windows Steals Top Server OS Spot From Unix | February 22, 2006
Microsoft’s Windows edged out Unix in 2005 as the best-selling server operating system, research firm IDC said Wednesday, marking the first time Unix hasn’t held the top spot in more than a decade.
Okay, but by how much?
Windows servers accounted for $17.7 billion in revenues last year, the Framingham, Mass.-based research company said, while Unix-powered servers took in $17.5 billion.
Okay, so by $200 million then. A lot of money no matter which whey you look @it, but in the grand scheme of the overall market, it seems things are basically neck and neck. This is a good thing. One is pushing the other and vice-versa to become better, faster, more reliable, more secure, more user friendly, more overall value = The consumer, in this case corporations and small businesses across the world, but a consumer none-the-less, is benefiting because of this.
In fact, further in the above linked report we discover:
But Windows’ moving past Unix doesn’t mean the former top dog is going to quietly slink away, IDC analysts said.
“We do not believe that any one platform will be in a position to force another platform out of the marketplace for many years to come,” said Jean Bozman, vice president of worldwide server research, in a statement. “End users [will continue to] utilize a mix of operating systems in their infrastructures.”
Cool. So here’s my next question.
What about Linux? I’m assuming that given the fact that its an OSS product, that can be downloaded and used for free, the number must be laughably small in comparison, right?
Linux, the open-source offshoot of Unix, accounted for $5.7 billion in server sales during 2005.
*COUGH* I’m sorry *COUGH*|*COUGH* how much was that again?
Linux, the open-source offshoot of Unix, accounted for $5.7 billion in server sales during 2005.
For a free OSS system?
Hmmm… I’m trying to think:
Free != $5.7 billion, right?
[WW:Ether “Correct.”]
K, just checkin’.
So then how… wait… hold up… let me put this into something more tangible:
So what you’re saying is that Linux *DOES* have a business model that works?
But…
Okay, whatever… Nevermind… I’m still confused by all of this, but no doubt the numbers are correct and folks like RedHat, Suse/Ximian/Mono/Novell, IBM, etc… have figured out a good and proper way to make a business out of free software, and do so in a way that doesn’t cause the various OSS communities to revolt due to any notion they felt they were being taking advantage of… Something that always felt to me like it would eventually become a problem. These folks are not idiots. If they felt they were being taken advantage of it, we would know, I promise :)
All right, cool. Still don’t get it, but me not getting how they are doing it should be something for me to deal with, and not get in the way of simple acceptance. As such, accepted… Now lets move on.
Let’s get some growth rate figures:
The trend of Microsoft besting Unix appears to be accelerating, noted IDC. Windows server sales climbed 4.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2005, year-over-year, while Unix server revenues dropped 5 percent. Linux, meanwhile, posted double-digit year-over-year growth: fourth quarter 2005’s numbers were 20.8 percent higher than 2004’s.
Okay… so lets do some math.
—
Windows Server: +4.7%
Unix-based Servers: -5%
Total un-accounted for sales difference: 0.3%
Linux year-over-year growth*: +20.8%
Market Share:
It would be impossible to determine actual market share using the dollar figures presented, as market share (as long as I understand it correctly) is a representation of total number of new licenses sold as well as the total number of existing licenses currently in place. Without knowledge of the average cost per license it would be impossible to derive what that number is.
Now, I might be able to find that information if I looked… but I’m too damn lazy, so we won’t bring this into the equation until such time as the research effort seems justified in comparison to the amount of extra time I have each day to do such research. Not high on my list at the moment. Probably will never happen because of this. Sorry.
So, moving on lets pretend for a second that if we add up the sales of the above three represented systems, and setting aside the fact that there are going to be systems sold that are not represented by Windows, Unix, or Linux:
17.7 + 17.5 + 5.7 = 40.7 Billion US dollars in total server software sales during 2005.
Firstly, HOLY #$*!! Thats a lot of money!
Secondly, HOLY #$*!! Thats a lot of money!
Thirdly, HO… nevermind.
Fourthly, (if (40.7 == 100%) then ((5.7 div 40.7) = 14%) == true)
If the result of the above equation is, in fact, true, then setting aside the fact that total sales != market share here’s what were looking @:
With the notion that Linux sales are 20.8% higher in fourth quarter 2005 compared to fourth quarter 2004, and adding to this the fact that there is a 0.3% unaccounted for difference in sales growth between Windows and Unix, then I think we can accuratelly state:
Linux needs to be given a lot more credit than they have been. While it goes beyond this, lets look at two things Linux has proved:
* There *IS* a business model in OSS, and in particular Linux OSS
* Its time to start taking OSS software a lot more seriously than we have (if in fact “we” includes you. If you already take it seriously, then please remove yourself from “we”. Thanks! ;)
Now, with that said, I have my own feelings on what qualifies as a legitimate OSS product and what does not. Or better said, what qualifies as an OSS project that can be seen as beneficial to the Free Market Tech Economy, and one that can be seen as destructive to the Free Market Tech Economy. But I would prefer to not make that a primary point in this post, and instead keep Linux, a legitimate OSS project that is beneficial to the Free Market Tech Economy, as the primary focal point for this section.
Summary
Here’s what I think we can safely derive from all of this:
* The server software marketplace is alive and well
* Windows Servers needs to be given some credit by the folks who otherwise would not give it credit, for being a pretty kick a$$ server software system.
* Unix Servers need to be given credit for fighting tooth and nail and maintaining a solid piece of the server software market share.
* The result of these last two items is a better product that is more secure, reliable, efficient, and beneficial to all of us because of this.
* Linux, and the OSS movement in general need to be given both credit, and some serious respect for accomplishing what they have thus far.
These are all good things. And each one of use are benefiting from each piece of the server software puzzle because of this.
Thats pretty fantastic if you ask me. :)
Enjoy your knowledge that we have a strong, healthy, and interesting server software marketplace that is being fueled by strong competition, including Linux and Open Source Software in general, and we’re all better off because of this-enhanced day! :D
—
[*A comparison of last years fourth quarter compared to this years fourth year quarter (speaking in generic “year” terms)]
So is the server software market as healthy as I’m suggesting? Or am I missing something that needs to be accounted for?